Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.298210 1.552683 1.860238 2.264522 2.789843 3.460607 4.400736
2024-12-22 0.900708 1.183484 1.571689 2.162246 3.073676 4.494056 7.028514
2024-12-29 0.730535 1.026977 1.474130 2.236724 3.595671 6.131792 11.898327
2025-01-05 0.612088 0.903889 1.376023 2.256127 4.021121 7.881921 19.000306
2025-01-12 0.517188 0.791853 1.260146 2.195153 4.257698 9.426957 28.030766
2025-01-19 0.450255 0.710604 1.174705 2.158693 4.525314 11.282496 42.040503
2025-01-26 0.419620 0.684834 1.181792 2.310868 5.322481 15.470433 80.094601
2025-02-02 0.389495 0.653910 1.170966 2.419316 6.079795 20.583609 155.675736
2025-02-09 0.354757 0.608354 1.120549 2.416820 6.517952 25.175891 278.803160
2025-02-16 0.321126 0.559899 1.054622 2.354993 6.735881 29.216198 477.450960
2025-02-23 0.299943 0.533113 1.030838 2.399288 7.377427 37.220669 1119.045260
2025-03-02 0.284429 0.515608 1.024545 2.491873 8.295950 50.016053 3862.960543
2025-03-09 0.265378 0.488825 0.993306 2.506451 8.938323 63.590328 17476.492670
2025-03-16 0.243106 0.452634 0.933825 2.416766 9.047189 72.864360 87737.778803
2025-03-23 0.232189 0.439837 0.930061 2.509663 10.202112 102.986580 NaN
2025-03-30 0.219315 0.421105 0.907982 2.533859 11.031791 136.642779 NaN
2025-04-06 0.204016 0.395205 0.863159 2.463456 11.240883 161.763567 NaN
2025-04-13 0.191382 0.374174 0.828353 2.421249 11.626467 198.961973 NaN
2025-04-20 0.187571 0.373257 0.848174 2.598034 13.833838 349.514428 NaN
2025-04-27 0.182097 0.367744 0.854263 2.724331 15.916062 602.167845 NaN
2025-05-04 0.173222 0.353057 0.831618 2.721422 16.903906 865.476765 NaN
2025-05-11 0.163227 0.334715 0.795721 2.649395 17.162105 1102.955497 NaN
2025-05-18 0.157268 0.325875 0.787127 2.700989 18.857657 1911.349122 NaN